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Simulação de propagação de boatos: como impedir a propagação de um boato

Crie um modelo de um boato que se espalha pelo Telegram, vídeos curtos e contas de entretenimento, e descubra quais ações o interrompem mais rapidamente.

O que enviar

Descrição do rumor + fatos oficiais · 📄 Um documento de exemplo está incluído.

Exemplo de pergunta

Como o boato sobre a contaminação da água da torneira em Ravnik se espalhará pelas redes sociais e conteúdos de entretenimento, quem o amplificará e quais ações das autoridades e da mídia o deterão mais rapidamente?
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📄 Sample document

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"Don't drink the tap water": rumour empties shelves in Ravnik

RAVNIK, Slovenia — Three days after repairs at the town's water-treatment plant, pharmacies and shops in Ravnik, a town of 9,000 people near the Croatian border, have run out of bottled water. The trigger was a rumour that the tap water is contaminated. The municipal utility has published laboratory results showing the water is safe — but many residents say they simply don't believe them.

Background

On 2 October the utility Komunala Ravnik replaced a filter unit and a section of the main pipe at the treatment plant. For about six hours some households had cloudy water, a normal effect after pipe works. That evening the anonymous Telegram channel "Ravnik brez cenzure" (7,400 members) posted that "chlorine was dumped in to hide bacteria". Two TikTok videos showing brown water in a bathtub — it is unclear where they were filmed — collected 600,000 views, and the entertainment Instagram account @stajerski_trac (210,000 followers) shared them with the caption "Ravnik, don't drink!".

Who is involved / positions

  • Komunala Ravnik, director Igor Novak: lab tests from an accredited laboratory on 3 and 4 October show no bacteria and chlorine within limits. "The water is safe. We drink it ourselves."
  • Mayor Darja Klemenčič: first stayed silent, then held a press conference and drank a glass of tap water on camera; commenters called it "staged".
  • Nika Zupan, a local lifestyle influencer (45,000 followers), says she trusts "her own eyes more than a PDF" and posts daily stories about her bottled-water stock.
  • Dr. Rok Bizjak, GP at the Ravnik Health Centre: no increase in stomach illnesses; he worries that elderly patients are drinking too little.
  • Regional newspaper Obmejni glas checked the TikTok videos and found that one was filmed two years ago in another country.
  • Croatian commuters, about 1,100 people who cross the border daily to work in Ravnik's factories, are bringing water from home and asking employers for bottled water.
  • Supermarket chain Zelenko raised the price of a 6-pack of water from €2.10 to €3.40, saying "supplier costs" — which caused new anger.

Key facts and numbers

  • 9,000 residents; 6 hours of cloudy water after repairs.
  • 2 lab tests, both within all limits.
  • 600,000 TikTok views; 7,400 Telegram members.
  • Bottled water price: €2.10 → €3.40.

What happens next

The utility will publish real-time water data online. The mayor has invited the national public-health institute to take independent samples. The Telegram channel promises "new evidence" this weekend.

This material is fictional and was created as an example for a simulation.

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Como funciona

  1. 01
    Grafo de conhecimento

    Pessoas, organizações e eventos são extraídos de seus materiais e integrados a uma memória compartilhada do mundo.

  2. 02
    População

    Cada entidade se torna um agente com personalidade, interesses e memória própria; os parâmetros de simulação são ajustados automaticamente.

  3. 03
    Simulação

    Os agentes publicam, comentam, argumentam e mudam de opinião em duas plataformas de redes sociais em paralelo, rodada após rodada.

  4. 04
    Relatório

    Um agente analista estuda tudo o que aconteceu e elabora uma previsão com os principais pontos de virada, riscos e grupos influentes.

  5. 05
    Conversa

    Pergunte a qualquer agente por que ele reagiu daquela maneira, ou faça perguntas de acompanhamento ao analista.

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